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Poll puts Puma Shen in lead for Taipei 17 points ahead of Chiang

Poll puts Puma Shen in lead for Taipei 17 points ahead of Chiang

2026-10-20

DPP Candidate Puma Shen has overtaken his KMT opponent by a mindboggling 17 percentage points the latest poll by the Taipei Trust in Democracy Association. The poll puts support rating for Shen at 50.3%, in contrast with 33.3% for Taipei Mayor Chiang Wan-an. In comparison with the previous poll by the association, Shen’s support shot up by 9.8 points, while Chiang’s crumbled by 8.4 points. Let’s hear more.

Puma Shen
Taipei Mayoral Candidate (DPP)
The poll may say one thing, but victory depends on the ballots, on how everyone actually votes on Nov. 28. There’s still 39 days to go until Election Day, so public opinion may still rise and fall. We take very seriously whether our policies resonate with the public. That’s the most important thing for us.

Chiang Wan-an
Taipei Mayor
I would like to call on all Taipei citizens who’ve seen all we’ve achieved over the past four years, to show their support for our administration by coming out to vote on Nov. 28.

Chuang Jui-hsiung
DPP Caucus
Everything that Puma has achieved to this day is really impressive already, and we have very high expectations for him. His approach of engaging with citizens through dialogue will only win more and more people over with time.

Tai Li-an
Designed poll
The polls show an extremely strong response. One of the factors is the O’Shen wave that’s sweeping over Taipei, with huge support from pan-green voters.

Analysts say the skyrocketing popularity of Shen in recent weeks may have encouraged more responders to express their support for the DPP candidate. On the other hand, some others who perhaps supported Chiang preferred to keep quiet. Based on the current figures the Taipei Trust in Democracy Association estimates that Shen will walk away with 49.2% to 52.9% of the vote on Election Day, while Chiang could get between 46.9% and 49.9% of vote. With an overlap of just 0.7 percentage points, the margin between the two could be as wide as 6 percentage points.

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#poll #taipei #election #pumashen #chiangwanan #oshenwave

最新支持度大勝蔣萬安17個百分點 沈伯洋:民調在紙上.勝負在票上

2026-10-20

台北市長選戰民調出現黃金交叉!由信民協會委託戴立安進行的最新民調顯示,沈伯洋支持度50.3%,對手蔣萬安33.3%,大幅領先17個百分點,相較9月22日公布的前次民調,沈伯洋支持度增加9.8個百分點,蔣萬安減少8.4個百分點。

[[台北市長參選人(民) 沈伯洋]]
“民調是在紙上,但是勝負是在票上,所以最重要的還是,1128大家怎麼投票,現在離投票還有39天,民意是可能會瞬間翻轉的,所以我們其實都是認真的,去看待我們提出的政策,大家有沒有共鳴,我覺得這件事情,是對我來說最重要的”

[[台北市長 蔣萬安]]
“呼籲所有支持台北市這四年來,端出的漂亮成績單,肯定蔣萬安,都希望大家11月28號,勇敢的站出來”

[[民進黨團幹事長 莊瑞雄]]
“伯洋今天打到現在讓我們覺得驚艷,那我們也對他有很高的一個期待,用對話的方式接近市民,我相信時間再久一點的話,他會有更多人(小水滴)加入”

[[民調專家 戴立安]]
“現在在民調上,反應非常非常的熱,非常熱的原因當然,從這個時間點上面來看,洋流是一個主要的因素,泛綠民眾表態率非常高”

信民協會分析,近期選戰出現的「洋流效應」,可能提高部分支持者的表態意願,而另一些選民可能轉趨低調,形成「沉默螺旋」。考量各項其他因素之下,進一步推估出雙方得票率,沈伯洋為49.2%至52.9%,蔣萬安則為46.9%至49.9%,介於蔣萬安領先0.7個百分點、沈伯洋領先6個百分點之間。

更多新聞內容,請鎖定:
民視台灣台(152頻道)週一至週五晚上9:30
民視新聞台(53頻道)週二至週六凌晨1:00

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