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TSMC, VIS may cut 8-inch foundry prices by up to 30%: sources

TSMC, VIS may cut 8-inch foundry prices by up to 30%: sources

2023-08-10

Two top chip companies may be considering a price cut due to sluggish consumer demand. According to industry sources, TSMC and Vanguard International Semiconductor, or VIS, may lower prices for their 8-inch wafer foundry service, by up to 30%. For TSMC, a 30% price cut would lead to a 2% drop in gross profit margin, according to a tech analyst. Neither TSMC nor VIS has commented on the rumor so far.

C.C. Wei (July 20)
TSMC CEO
We now expect the foundry industry to decline mid-teens, and our full year 2023 revenue to decline around 10%.

At TSMC’s earnings call in July, CEO C.C Wei said that weak end-consumer demand would bring down revenue by 10%. According to the latest industry rumor, TSMC and Vanguard International Semiconductor, or VIS, intend to lower their prices for 8-inch foundry by 10% to 30%.

Nobunaga Chai
Tech analyst
If prices drop by 30%, there would be a negative impact on TSMC’s overall gross profit margin, of roughly 2%. That’s a sizeable hit. If the losses at Arizona are also put on the books, it would be extremely hard for TSMC to fulfill its promise of 55% gross profit margin for the year.

Both TSMC and VIS have yet to comment on the market rumor. TSMC is known for holding firm on pricing, neither raising nor lowering prices on a whim. Due to TSMC’s three-month production process, the financial impact of a cut would be felt in the fourth quarter at the earliest.

Nobunaga Chai
Tech analyst
This wave of inventory digestion may continue through the first half of the next year, and even through to the third quarter. The issue is not limited to the semiconductor side, but affects the entire electronics industry’s supply chain.

Amid slow inventory clearance and weak consumer demand, the electronics industry sees little hope of a quick recovery. If TSMC does lower prices, its entire supply chain would be affected.

台積8吋晶圓代工大降價?! 最大降幅達30%

2023-08-10

終端需求疲弱加上市場競爭,市場傳出台積電跟集團轉投資的世界先進、將調降8吋晶圓代工報價,最大降幅達30%。專家分析,過去台積電價格一向堅定、不輕易調整,因此調降消息有待觀察,值得注意的是,電子終端市場恐怕明年下半年才反彈,相關供應鏈Q4營收不樂觀。

[[台積電總裁 魏哲家(07.20)]]
“整體需求疲弱,我們對2023全年營收,預測下修衰退近一成”

7月中台積電法說會,總裁魏哲家坦言,今年終端消費需求疲弱,全年營收預估值衰退調降近一成。如今市場傳言,台積電跟轉投資世界先進,近期將陸續調降8吋晶圓代工報價,調降幅度介於10%到30%。

[[半導體產業分析師 柴煥欣]]
“如果降三成的話,對台積電整體毛利率會有2%不利影響,這部分對台積電殺傷力依然很大,如果再認列亞利桑那廠其他問題的話,台積今年要維持毛利率55%承諾,這是一件難上加難的事情”

針對市場傳言,台積電跟世界先進都不評論,但台積對於售價一向堅持,不輕易漲價也不隨便降價,若消息屬實,以台積電生產流程三個月推算,最快反應在第四季財報。

[[半導體產業分析師 柴煥欣]]
“這一波出清存貨動作,恐怕延續到明年上半年甚至第三季,這麼嚴重的狀況,這還不是只是晶片端的問題,而是整個電子產業鏈”

庫存消化不如預期,終端消費市場疲弱,整個電子產業現階段還嗅不到復甦契機,若台積電真的面臨降價,相關供應鏈都將受到影響。

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