Trump faces different North Korea in second term
Trump faces different North Korea in second term
2024-12-27
In his first term as US president, Donald Trump tightened economic sanctions against North Korea by attempting to force Pyongyang to give up its nuclear weapons program. VOA’s Young Gyo Kim looks at what Trump should expect from North Korea in his second term. Scott Stearns narrates.
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un used a military exhibition for his first remarks on the United States since Donald Trump became president-elect, saying past negotiations confirmed what he called Washington’s “unchangeable” hostility toward Pyongyang. Kim vowed to expand North Korea’s nuclear capabilities “without limit” as the only way to counter external threats. Kim today is a decidedly different opponent for Trump than when they last met in 2019.
Evans Revere
Brookings Institution
Kim Jong Un believes he has a stronger hand. And I believe part of that stronger hand is his new-found relationship with the Russians.
US military officials say there are now more than 10,000 North Korean troops in Russia helping with its invasion of Ukraine. Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belousov was in Pyongyang last month, advancing a strategic partnership treaty. Together, Russia and North Korea threaten greater instability, says former US national intelligence officer for North Korea Sydney Seiler.
Sydney Seiler
Center for Strategic and International Studies
This is becoming a military alliance with both a near-term and longer-term danger, a dangerous risk.
With North Korea gaining Russian air defense systems, upgraded munitions manufacturing, cash, and food and fuel aid, Seiler says Kim has less need for Washington than during Trump’s first term.
Sydney Seiler
Center for Strategic and International Studies
With all the things that Kim Jong Un is able to get from his new best friend Vladimir Putin why would he reach out to Donald Trump?
In his first term, Trump worked with South Korean leaders to try to roll back North Korea’s nuclear weapons program. In his second term, Trump will be dealing with a North Korea that has firmly closed the door on denuclearization, says Revere. Just days before last month’s US election, North Korea tested a new intercontinental ballistic missile that could potentially reach most of the US mainland.
For Young Gyo Kim, Scott Stearns, VOA News
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川普第二任期 該如何應對北韓核武危機
2024-12-27
川普在他的首次美國總統任期中，對北韓實施嚴厲的經濟制裁，試圖迫使平壤放棄核武計劃。而在川普的第二任期中會對北韓採取甚麼樣政策。來自美國之音的報導。
北韓領導人金正恩在川普當選總統後，在一次軍事展覽中發表演講，他稱過去的談判證實了他所謂的華盛頓對平壤的「不變的」敵意。金正恩表示將「無限制」地擴大北韓的核武能力，這是對抗外部威脅的唯一途徑。與2019年會晤時相比，今日的金正恩對川普而言，是一個截然不同的對手。
[[布魯金斯學會 Evans Revere]]
“金正恩相信他有更強的能力。我認為一部分原因是他與俄羅斯新建立的關係所導致。”
美國軍方官員宣稱，目前有一萬多名北韓軍人在幫助俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭。俄羅斯國防部長安德烈·貝洛索夫，上個月在平壤推動一項戰略夥伴關係條約。前美國負責北韓問題的國家情報官員表示，俄羅斯和北韓的結盟，存在更大的不穩定威脅。
[[戰略與國際研究中心 Sydney Seiler]]
“這正成為一個既有近期危險和長期危險性的軍事同盟。”
隨著北韓獲得俄羅斯的防空系統、彈藥製造升級、金錢，以及糧食和燃料的援助，學者表示，金正恩對華盛頓的需求比川普的第一任期時要少。
[[戰略與國際研究中心 Sydney Seiler]]
“金正恩能從他新的好友普丁那裡獲得的那麼多東西，他何必要去找川普呢？”
川普首次執政時，曾與南韓領導人合作，試圖逆轉北韓的核武計劃。學者表示，在川普的第二任期中，他將面對堅決關閉無核化大門的北韓。就在美國大選前幾天，北韓試射一枚新型洲際彈道飛彈，該飛彈有可能到達美國本土的大部分內陸地區。
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