
The Taiwan stock market soared on the first trading day after the Labor Day long weekend. At one point, the Taiex soared by 1,800 points, but ultimately closed up 1,778 at 40,705. Several new record figures were set, including intraday index, closing index and largest single-day gain. The rally was driven by gains in US stocks, with heavyweight stocks leading the Taiex. Among them, TSMC surged by more than 6% to close up at NT$2,775. Meanwhile, MediaTek and ASE closed limit-up. Let’s hear from an analyst.
Chen Li-wei
President Capital Management Analyst
Taiwan shares still have very solid fundamentals. Last month, the AI capital expenditure of the four major US cloud service providers increased from over US$600 billion to more than US$700 billion. This means real AI-related orders for Taiwan remain very strong. The Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics said that Taiwan’s GDP growth for the first quarter was 13.69%, marking a 39-year high. TSMC’s compound annual growth rate was originally 45%, but has now risen to between 55% and 59%, which is a significant increase, covering the period from 2024 to 2029. This indicates continuously improving future profitability. TSMC also has very high order visibility.
Taiwan’s stock market has been booming with the return of retail investors. The number of fractional-share investors in TSMC has reached 2.01 million. Experts note that long-term fundamentals remain solid and AI continues to be the main trend. However, as of last week’s close, the price deviation rate had already reached 13%, meaning there may be profit-taking pressure and increased volatility. Investors are advised to pay close attention to chip distribution and foreign investor movements.
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#stockmarket #shares #ai #TSMC #investment
勞動節連假過後,週一台股盤中一度飆漲1800點,終場收在40705點,收漲1778點,創多個新紀錄,包含盤中指數、收盤指數和單日最大漲點,都是歷史新高。主要是因為美股激勵,權值股帶頭衝,台積電飆漲超過6%,收在2275元,聯發科和日月光亮燈漲停。
[[統一投顧分析師 陳立委]]
“(台股)基本面還是相當的紮實,美國四大CSP廠在上個月,AI的資本支出,本來是6000多億,已經提升到7000多億(美元) ,對台灣的AI實質訂單,還是非常地強勁,主計處已經公告,第一季的GDP,台灣是高達13.69%,創39年來的新高。(台積電)年複合成長率,本來是45%,那現在是達到55%至59%,這是大幅的提高,而且是從2024年到2029年,所以未來的獲利能力都是持續的提高,台積電在訂單能見度,也是相當高的”
近期台股熱,散戶資金也回流,台積電零股投資人戶數,已經來到201萬戶。專家分析,長線基本面紮實,AI還是主流,但上週收盤時,乖離率就已來到13%,可能會面臨獲利了結的波動賣壓,提醒投資人在籌碼面和外資動向上,都要多加留意。
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