
Taiwan shares ended October with a leap into the void, with losses across the board. The market opened to major losses, and at one point shed 1,642 points during the trading session, falling below the 6-month moving average. Bargain hunters stepped in to break the fall, but the index still closed down at 45,211 points. Institutional investors sold a net NT$139.8 billion in shares and foreign investors alone dumping NT$112.4 billion. That’s the 7th-largest net sell-off for the Taiex. Let’s hear from an analyst.
Wayne Chen
Analyst
In the US, Google and Marvell did a nosedive and Intel plunged more than 23% in after-hours trading. These losses also contributed to today’s downturn in Taiwan. But this doesn’t necessarily signal a full-fledged bearish reversal. Instead, the market seems to be shifting from a one-way bullish rally into a period of range-bound trading. Today marks the first time in a year that the index falls below the six-month moving average. In previous instances this has been followed by a relatively high probability of a rebound, with stocks potentially making up some of their lost ground afterward.
With the elections drawing closer in Taiwan and the US, market trends show a relatively high chance of a rebound in November. Experts recommend focusing on fundamentals and positive industry outlooks to build a portfolio gradually, as well as setting strict loss-limits. For now, the best approach is to wait for volatility to settle before making a move.
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#trends #stocks #shares #taiex #taiwanshares
10月最後一個交易日,台股一開盤就跳水,上演大逃殺,大盤一片慘綠,盤中指數一度狂瀉1,642點,失守半年線。所幸低階買盤進場下急拉,終場留下影線,收在45,211點,三大法人合計賣超1398億元,光是外資就重砍1124億元,創下史上第七大賣超紀錄。
[[分析師 陳立委]]
“Google跟 Marvell(邁威爾)這些都是大跌,那英特爾甚至在盤後是跌了超過23%,所以這也造成了台股今天的跌勢。那以現階段來講的話,不太算是一個全面轉空的一個態勢,比較像是原本是單邊的多頭的行情,變成一個區間震盪。這個跌破半年線已經一年來首次。以過去的經驗來看,跌破半年線,這勝率會是比較高,後面的話如果有補漲來上來。”
隨著美台年底選舉行情逐步醞釀,歷史經驗顯示,11月反彈機率高,專家建議,可鎖定具基本面優勢,與產業展望支撐的績優標的,分批布局、嚴設停損,靜待市場沉澱後,再出發。
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民視台灣台(152頻道)週一至週五晚上9:30
民視新聞台(53頻道)週二至週六凌晨1:00
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