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US state secretary Blinken warns of impact of war in Taiwan Strait on global economy

US state secretary Blinken warns of impact of war in Taiwan Strait on global economy

2022-09-27

In an interview on CBS program “60 Minutes,” U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said that a war in the Taiwan Strait would be devastating for the global economy. He said that, as Taiwan produces most of the world’s advanced chips, a war would disrupt production, which would impact the world’s tech supply chain. He added that the U.S. continues to adhere to its “One China” policy, but is concerned that China is taking actions to change the status quo in the Taiwan Strait. In Taiwan, one analyst said he believes Blinken’s words serve as a warning for China that its own economy would be destroyed if it were to attack Taiwan.

The output of Taiwan’s semiconductor sector is astounding, reaching one-fourth of worldwide output last year. This has not gone unnoticed by the U.S., which is pouring investment into Taiwanese semiconductors.

Antony Blinken
US secretary of state
One of the reasons we are not investing so heavily in our own capacity, to produce semiconductors here in the United States. We design them, but the actual production is done in a handful of places, and Taiwan produces most of them. If that’s disrupted, the effects that that would have on the global economy, could be devastating.

Blinken warned China not to act rashly, saying that to do so would be bad for the global economy. Blinken recently met with Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi, during which the two discussed their positions on cross-strait relations.

Antony Blinken
US secretary of state
We had a conversation about our different approaches to Taiwan, and I reiterated what the president has said. Our continued adherence to the “One China” policy, our deep concerns that China was taking actions to try to change that status quo, that’s what the issue is.

The U.S. is concerned that China could destroy peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. U.S. President Joe Biden has also reiterated on four occasions that the U.S. would send troops to Taiwan in the event of a Chinese attack. Now Blinken has also brought up Taiwan’s semiconductor industry, which one Taiwan analyst has interpreted as a warning to China.

Wang Chih-sheng
Cross-Strait Policy Association
I think it’s intended as a warning and a threat. The U.S. is now actively pushing its CHIPS and Science Act, which has already put pressure on China’s supply chain. For Beijing, the growing international support for Taiwan has left it feeling helpless.

The analyst believes that in the face of continuous U.S. support for Taiwan, coupled with the implications of war for China’s economy, China is unlikely to use military force against Taiwan.

布林肯受訪強調 「台若遭破壞 對全球經濟毀滅性影響」

2022-09-27

面對中國對台灣的一連串挑釁作為,讓美國國務卿布林肯看不下去,他接受CBS訪問時,特別強調 台灣若遭到破壞、將對全球經濟產生毀滅性的影響,同時也擔心中國嘗試改變台海現狀,對此學者認為,布林肯這番話對於中國具有顯著威嚇作用。

台灣半導體產能驚人,2021年佔全球總產值四分之一,讓美國政府相當看重,大力投資台灣半導體產業。

[[美國國務卿 布林肯]]
“這是我們現在大力投資,在美國生產半導體能力的原因之一,我們設計半導體,實際只在少數地方生產,而台灣製造大部分如果遭到破壞,對全球經濟的影響恐具毀滅性的影響。”

布林肯警告中國不要輕舉妄動,否則對全球經濟都沒好處,而日前布林肯跟中國外交部長王毅會面,坦言曾經針對兩岸立場展開對話。

[[美國國務卿 布林肯 ]]
“我們針對雙方對台灣不同的態度有過對話,而我重申了(拜登)總統說過的話,以及他持續表明的內容,我們堅守一個中國政策,我們深切擔憂中國採取行動試圖改變現狀,這是問題所在。”

美國擔心中國破壞台海和平現狀,總統拜登也四度強調,若台灣遭攻打會出兵協防,加上這回布林肯提及台灣半導體地位,就是要對中國產生威嚇作用。

[[亞太菁英交流協會秘書長 王智盛]]
“我覺得是有相當的警告跟威嚇作用的,美國現在正在積極地推動這個晶片法案,其實已經對北京形成相當大供應鏈上的壓力,北京現在其實對於這種國際社會越來越支持台灣,處於無可奈何的狀態。”

學者認為,中國政府面對美國頻頻表態挺台灣,布林肯這段話有威嚇效果,加上考量自身經濟利益,應該不會採取實質武力行動。


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