Analyst says US may shelve Pelosi visit as leverage for Biden-Xi talk
Debate continues over whether U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi will visit Taiwan in August. Reports had indicated she was planning a Taiwan trip, prompting protests from China, which has also threatened consequences. One analyst says the Biden administration may cancel the trip to improve its leverage in upcoming talks with Beijing. Meanwhile, former U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said on social media that he’d be willing to join Pelosi to Taiwan should the visit go ahead.
Former U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo could soon visit Taiwan for a second time. On Twitter, the former secretary tagged U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, saying, “Nancy, I’’ll go with you. I’’m banned in China, but not freedom-loving Taiwan. See you there!” Pompeo’s support for Pelosi’s Taiwan visit came after Beijing expressed fierce opposition to the planned trip, putting the U.S. in a dilemma.
Joe Biden
US president
The military thinks it’s not a good idea right now, but I don’t know what the status of it is.
Nancy Pelosi
US House speaker
My travel plans – it’s a security issue. If we’re going to have a discussion about that, I think that it’s important for us to show support for Taiwan. I think what the president was saying is, maybe the military was afraid our plane would get shot down, or something like that, by the Chinese. I don’t know exactly. I didn’t see it, and hear it.
China has expressed objections to the visit, and has said that if Pelosi’s trip goes through, it would take actions. A columnist at The Washington Post wrote that if Pelosi does visit Taiwan, the U.S. would likely dispatch aircraft carriers or fighter jets to provide air support for the military plane that would carry Pelosi.
Su Tzu-yun
Institute for National Defense and Security Research
It is impossible that Pelosi, who is second in line to the presidency, would be scared into changing her travel plans over Chinese threats. The U.S. Air Force’s fighter jets, its navy’s carriers and fighter jets, and its defensive positions throughout the region would ensure that its key personnel can travel freely and safely.
Several U.S. representatives have also voiced their support for Pelosi’’s visit to Taiwan in recent days. Some have encouraged Pelosi to speak out against the U.S.’ “One China” policy. However, one researcher said that with U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese leader Xi Jinping due to hold a video conference in the coming days, and with China’s national congress on the horizon, the Pelosi visit comes at a sensitive time.
Arthur Ding
NCCU Graduate Institute of Asian Studies
The U.S. government may have some expectations of China they hope to bring to the table, which would be totally shelved if Pelosi visits Taiwan.
Su Tzu-yun
Institute for National Defense and Security Research
I think China will face a strong backlash, and its attitude is not that of a responsible power. It is just confirming the so-called China threat theory.
Pelosi has been a force behind many Taiwan-friendly laws in the U.S., and has spared no effort to strengthen Taiwan-U.S. ties. She’s also been vocal on the need to assist Taiwan in developing its asymmetric warfare capabilities. A visit to Taiwan by Pelosi would send a strong signal on U.S. support for Taiwan’s democracy. Though detractors say a visit at this sensitive time could also worsen an already tense situation.
2022-07-25